Der Iran im geopolitischen Kontext

July 18, 2001
Ariel Cohen of the Heritage Foundation authors a report warning that recent agreements between Russia and China demonstrate that the two countries are “positioning themselves to define the rules under which the United States, the European Union, Iran, and Turkey will be allowed to participate in the strategically important Central Asian region.”
Good Neighborliness, Friendship and Cooperation Treaty - The treaty, signed two days before, includes a commitment to pursue “[j]oint actions to offset a perceived US hegemonism.” Cohen says the treaty “should signal to the Western world that a major geopolitical shift may be taking place in the Eurasian balance of power.”
Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) - Cohen says the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), created on June 14, and consisting of Russia, China, and the Central Asian States of Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan, could undermine US influence in Central Asia.
Military partnership - Cohen warns that the two counties are interested in boosting “each other’s military potential as well as that of other countries that pursue anti-American foreign policies.” They could encourage the proliferation of weapons of mass destruction in order to “force the United States to spread its resources thinly to deal with evolving crises in different regions simultaneously.”
Russian and Chinese economic cooperation - There are “numerous projects for developing free economic zones along the Chinese-Russian border and an international port in the mouth of the Tumannaya river (Tumangan)...,.” The Russian and Chinese also plan to “cooperate in developing a network of railroads and pipelines in Central Asia, building a pan-Asian transportation corridor (the Silk Road) from the Far East to Europe and the Middle East.”
Cohen's conclusion - Cohen urges US policy makers to “examine the changing geostrategic reality and take steps to ensure that US security and national interests are not at risk.” [Heritage Foundation, 8/18/2001]


Strategiepapiere und Analysen der einflußreichen Think Tanks wie die Heritage Foundation in den USA sind ernst zu nehmen. Der Irankonflikt ist also denmnach in einem größeren Zusammenhang zu sehen, als ein "Schlachtfeld", eine "Episode" im machtpolitischen Kräftespiel um den zentralasiatischen Raum, in dem dem sich die letzte Weltmacht USA mit Ex-Weltmacht Rußland und der nächsten Weltmacht China bzw der SHO gesamt konfrontiert sieht.Als gesichert kann gelten, daß auch nach einem Iran-Krieg weiter um den Einfluß im wichtigen zentralasiatischen Raum gerungen wird.